MyVaRefinance
  • HOME
  • ADVANTAGES OF VA LOAN
  • VA STREAMLINE REFINANCE
  • GET A QUOTE
  • BLOG
  • TESTIMONIALS

News affecting VA Loans, VA Mortgage Rates, VA Refinance Loans

10/28/2010

0 Comments

 
  After 5 days of selling in the rate markets, this morning a little improvement. Prior to 8:30 the 10 yr note held a 12/32 price gain and mortgages up 7/32 (.22 bp); at 8:30 weekly jobless claims were better halting any additional improvement. Claims for last week were expected to be up 3K to 455K, as reported claims fell 21K to 434K, the lowest in weeks. Continuing claims fell to 4.35. mil frm 4.80 mil last week. Treasuries and mortgages dropped back a touch but still managing to hold a little improvement. At 9:00 the 10 yr note +7/32 at 2.71% -2 bp and mortgages +5/32 (.15 bp) frm yesterday's close. Not much, but any gain is welcome after the bond market flipped on the QE outlook.

 

When the FOMC announced the Fed was prepared to ease further at the conclusion of the 9/21 meeting it set off a huge run lower in rates on the belief the Fed was intent on driving long term rates lower. The 10 yr note yield fell 45 basis points and mortgage rates declined 24 basis points. The dollar declined and the equity markets rallied. Recently though the outlook for a strong easing move from the Fed has faded and the rate markets are now back to levels prior to the FOMC meeting. The read on the easing initially was that the Fed would buy significant amounts of treasuries to drive long term rates lower, bust the dollar and ignite more interest in the housing sector. Over the last 10 days the sentiment has changed; presently the consensus is that the Fed will launch an easing move but that it will be at a slower pace than the initial expectations.

 

The stock market opened better this morning on the weak dollar; after a couple of days of improvement the dollar is under pressure again today. China’s yuan fell to its weakest level this month after the central bank set a lower reference rate for a third day, spurring speculation the government is limiting appreciation. The People’s Bank of China set the reference rate 0.11% weaker at 6.6986 against the greenback. The yuan has weakened 0.5% since policy makers from the Group of 20 nations said on Oct. 23 they would refrain from “competitive devaluation” before the Nov. 11-12 leaders’ summit. The Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against currencies of six major U.S. trading partners, declined 0.6% to 77.698. The gauge has fluctuated between gains and losses this month as speculation additional credit-easing measures from the Fed will weaken the currency were offset by bets the central bank will buy a smaller amount of bonds than some analysts predicted.

 

At 1:00 Treasury will auction $29B of 7 yr notes; yesterday's 5 yr note was met with OK demand but not nearly as strong as past auctions. The 7 yr today will be more difficult to get strong demand.

 

The Fed is about to turn on the printing press to print more dollars. That is what QE is all about. The Fed however talks about helping revive the economy with the easing while the real emphasis is to drive down the dollar to improve exports and improve the economy. Lower interest rates, while helping, is only a method to beat down the dollar. The problem is however, that every country is trying to do the same. With the Fed about to "ease", the effect will be that other central banks will be forced to do the same. The recent jump back in rates has likely run its course but we are left with the question, how much lower will rates fall when the Fed actually announces its easing policy, and will the Fed lay out the entire plan being formulated? Flying blind, throwing it against the wall to seer what sticks. Unemployment isn't going to fall much, consumers still deleveraging and the housing sector shows no real signs of stabilizing. Lower interest rates are just a by-product of the Fed printing more money to bring the dollar down.

-thinkbigworksmall.com

va loans
va home loans
va loan rates
va mortgage rates
va refinance
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Archives

    December 2013
    August 2013
    July 2013
    May 2013
    February 2013
    December 2012
    November 2012
    September 2012
    April 2012
    December 2011
    November 2011
    August 2011
    July 2011
    June 2011
    May 2011
    April 2011
    March 2011
    February 2011
    January 2011
    December 2010
    November 2010
    October 2010
    September 2010
    July 2010
    June 2010
    May 2010
    April 2010
    March 2010
    February 2010
    January 2010
    December 2009
    November 2009
    October 2009
    September 2009
    August 2009
    July 2009
    June 2009
    May 2009

    Categories

    All
    Home Loans
    Irrrl
    Mortgage Rate News
    Refinance
    Va Loan
    Va Loan Rates
    Va Loans
    Va Mortgage Loan
    Va Mortgage Rates
    Vamortgage Rates
    Va Refinance

    RSS Feed

✕